Vote for your pick for Honolulu Mayor at @HawaiiPolls!
Two self-proclaimed outsiders are heading to a run-off contest in the General Election in November to be the next mayor of Honolulu: Rick Blangiardi and Keith Amemiya.
Now that the primary election is over*, let’s take a look at how two leading statewide polls conducted on behalf of media outlets did in predicting the outcome of Hawaii’s first all mail-in election.
This comparison includes a Honolulu Star-Advertiser poll conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy in Washington D.C. from July 20-22 of 400 “likely voters,” with a 5 percent margin of error, and a Hawaii News Now/Civil Beat poll conducted by MRG Research from July 27-30 of 600 “voters” with a 3.5 percent margin of error.
*Admittedly, we only have the second printout as of this posting, but the numbers aren’t expected to shift much.
54% of voters said they were not satisfied with state plans to reopen public schools.
The latest Civil Beat/Hawaii News Now poll finds:
- 54% of voters said they were not satisfied with state plans to reopen public schools.
- 56% of voters said they were not satisfied with state plans to reopen tourism.
- 75% (three-fourths) of voters continue to support local stay-at-home guidelines and quarantine orders.
- Presumptive Democratic nominee for President Joe Biden enjoys a 51% positive rating compared to just 30% for Donald Trump.
- 56% said they would pick Biden while 29% chose Trump. “Those numbers are nearly identical to what Hawaii voters said four years ago when asked about Trump and Hillary Clinton.”
The new poll, conducted July 27-30, surveyed 975 registered voters in Hawaii. The margin of error was 3.1 percentage points.