The Morning After

Two self-proclaimed outsiders are heading to a run-off contest in the General Election in November to be the next mayor of Honolulu: Rick Blangiardi and Keith Amemiya.

Now that the primary election is over*, let’s take a look at how two leading statewide polls conducted on behalf of media outlets did in predicting the outcome of Hawaii’s first all mail-in election.

This comparison includes a Honolulu Star-Advertiser poll conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy in Washington D.C. from July 20-22 of 400 “likely voters,” with a 5 percent margin of error, and a Hawaii News Now/Civil Beat poll conducted by MRG Research from July 27-30 of 600 “voters” with a 3.5 percent margin of error.

*Admittedly, we only have the second printout as of this posting, but the numbers aren’t expected to shift much.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.